Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turks and Caicos win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turks and Caicos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Haiti win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).