Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belize win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belize win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belize would win this match.