Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.