Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norway in this match.