UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Oct 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Pod Goricom

Montenegro
1 - 2
Luxembourg

Ivanovic (34')
Vukcevic (27'), Simic (39'), Ivanovic (62'), Raspopovic (75')
Jankovic (90+5'), Simic (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Muratovic (42'), Sinani (86')
Barreiro (18')
Thill (90+6')

Coverage of the Nations League League C clash between Montenegro and Luxembourg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Luxembourg
51.75%	26.62%	21.64%

Both teams to score 43.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.5%

59.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.15%

79.85%

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83%

23.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.95%

57.05%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.9%

43.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.63%

79.38%

Score Analysis

Montenegro 51.74%

Luxembourg 21.64%

Draw 26.62%

Montenegro	Draw	Luxembourg
1-0 @ 14.6% 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.74%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.06% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.64%