Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Guyana had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Guyana win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.