World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stadion Ergilio Hato
Curacao4 - 1Barbados
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Curacao and Barbados.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curacao 1-1 El Salvador
Tuesday, November 21 at 12am in International Friendlies
Tuesday, November 21 at 12am in International Friendlies
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Montserrat 4-2 Barbados
Monday, November 20 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Monday, November 20 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 76.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Barbados win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | Barbados |
76.19% ( -2.74) | 14.92% ( 1.17) | 8.89% ( 1.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 3.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
