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Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Mar 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester Women
2 - 3
Brighton Women

Rantala (54'), Petermann (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kop (62' og.), Robinson (68'), Terland (85')
Terland (31'), Losada (64'), Lee (72'), Zigiotti-Olme (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 1-4 Man City Women
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester Women 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

The two sides may have played out a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture, but Leicester have won their last two home matches against the Seagulls, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim another head-to-head victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.72%) and 2-3 (5.07%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
33.02% (-1.438 -1.44) 20.77% (-0.239 -0.24) 46.2% (1.671 1.67)
Both teams to score 72.96% (0.366 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.44% (0.67699999999999 0.68)25.56% (-0.685 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.36% (0.873 0.87)45.64% (-0.881 -0.88)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (-0.324 -0.32)16.98% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91% (-0.574 -0.57)47.09% (0.567 0.57)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.89% (0.77499999999999 0.77)12.11% (-0.783 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.33% (1.621 1.62)37.67% (-1.629 -1.63)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 33.02%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 46.2%
    Draw 20.77%
Leicester WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.26% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-0 @ 3.65% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 3.23% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-3 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 33.02%
1-1 @ 7.7% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-2 @ 7.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 3% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.06% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 20.77%
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.72% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 5.07% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.147 0.15)
1-4 @ 3.02% (0.193 0.19)
2-4 @ 2.68% (0.145 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.125 0.13)
3-4 @ 1.58% (0.069 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.117 0.12)
2-5 @ 1.13% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.2%

How you voted: Leicester Women vs Brighton Women

Leicester Women
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Brighton Women
2-2
Leicester Women
Terland (82', 88')
Losada (65'), Terland (71')
Petermann (45'), Rantala (46')
Green (17'), Whelan (90+1')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Brighton Women
0-1
Leicester Women

Lee (31'), Symonds (64')
Baker (73')
Bott (27')
Jan 15, 2023 3pm
Jan 16, 2022 2pm
Nov 14, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 7
Brighton Women
1-0
Leicester Women
Symonds (90+3')

Bailey Gayle (75'), Plumptre (85')
rhs 2.0
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