Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.