Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Centenario del Club Atletico Sarmiento
Liverpool1 - 1Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Liverpool and Independiente del Valle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
30.26% ( -0.13) | 27.36% ( -0.09) | 42.38% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.46% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.16% ( 0.29) | 56.84% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.23% ( 0.23) | 77.77% ( -0.23) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.94% ( 0.06) | 34.06% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.26% ( 0.06) | 70.74% ( -0.06) |
Independiente del Valle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% ( 0.25) | 26.5% ( -0.25) |