With both teams already through to the knockout stages, we do not expect to see a particularly entertaining encounter on Thursday. Independiente have been incredibly tough to beat on home soil in recent years and we believe that they have enough about them to secure a tight victory and top spot in Group E as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del Valle	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
37.3% ( -0.01)	26.83% ( 0.01)	35.87%

Both teams to score 51.45% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.31% (

-0.05)

53.69% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82% (

-0.05)

75.18% (

0.05)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.04)

27.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56% (

-0.05)

63.44% (

0.04)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

-0.03)

28.7% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

-0.03)

64.52% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Independiente del Valle 37.3%

Argentinos Juniors 35.87%

Draw 26.83%

Independiente del Valle	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.3%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.87%