Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.