Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.19%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Reggina win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.