Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
