Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for AC Chievo Verona had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Chievo Verona win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.