Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Sudtirol
53.49% ( -0.13)	25.67% ( 0.05)	20.84% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 45.2% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.98% (

-0.09)

57.02% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.09% (

-0.07)

77.91% (

0.08)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

-0.09)

21.38% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64% (

-0.15)

54.36% (

0.15)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.49% (

0.03)

42.51% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.13% (

0.03)

78.87% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Parma 53.49%

Sudtirol 20.84%

Draw 25.67%

Parma	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.49%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.84%