Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Chievo Verona win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Chievo Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.