Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Chievo Verona win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Chievo Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.