Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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