Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.