Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.