Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.