Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.