Segunda Division | Gameweek 18
Dec 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Toralín
Ponferradina1 - 2Burgos
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Burgos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Ponferradina
Saturday, November 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, November 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Burgos 2-2 Zaragoza
Sunday, November 27 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, November 27 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ponferradina | Draw | Burgos |
38.79% ( 0.18) | 29.22% ( -0.17) | 31.98% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.85% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.12% ( 0.54) | 62.88% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.62% ( 0.39) | 82.38% ( -0.39) |
Ponferradina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.52% ( 0.38) | 31.47% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% ( 0.44) | 67.86% ( -0.44) |
Burgos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.99% ( 0.29) | 36.01% ( -0.29) |