Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (12.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.