Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amorebieta would win this match.

Result
Amorebieta	Draw	Villarreal II
51.2% ( 0.78)	24.56% ( -0.17)	24.24% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.45% (

0.15)

49.54% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43% (

0.13)

71.57% (

-0.13)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

0.37)

19.34% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

0.6)

51.12% (

-0.6)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.99% (

-0.46)

35% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.25% (

-0.48)

71.75% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Amorebieta 51.2%

Villarreal II 24.24%

Draw 24.55%

Amorebieta	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 51.2%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.24%