Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.