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Sassuolo logo
Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Citta del Tricolore
Udinese logo

Sassuolo
0 - 1
Udinese


Peluso (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Okaka (53')
Musso (90+6')

Preview: Sassuolo vs. Udinese - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Udinese, including team news and predicted lineups.

Udinese are out to equal their best Serie A points tally since 2014 when they take on free-scoring Sassuolo at Mapei Stadium on Sunday.

The Bianconeri slipped to defeat last time out and are down in 14th place, nine points worse off than Sassuolo in eighth.


Match preview

Udinese boss Luca Gotti in November 2019.© Reuters

A shock win over Juventus last week killed off the threat of relegation for Udinese, who followed up that impressive victory with three points away to Cagliari.

Throwing away a one-goal lead to lose 2-1 against 18th-place Lecce last time out killed off their momentum, however, and 13th place is now the best the Bianconeri can hope for.

Still, victory this weekend would take Udinese's points tally to 45 for the season, equalling the number they accrued in 2016-17.

That would ultimately make 2019-20 their best season in three years, but Sassuolo enter this game in good form after putting five unanswered goals past Genoa in midweek.

Domenico Berardi was the star of the show on Wednesday evening, scoring one and setting up three others as the Neroverdi put defeats to AC Milan and Napoli firmly behind them.

Sassuolo attacker Jeremie Boga pictured in October 2019© Reuters

Roberto De Zerbi's men have now won five of their last nine and are well positioned to end the season in eighth, holding a two-point advantage on Hellas Verona with one game to go.

Indeed, since football returned in Italy in June, only AC Milan (32) and Inter Milan (30) have scored more goals than Sassuolo's 28.

However, De Zerbi is yet to win a game against Udinese as a Serie A manager, drawing three and losing three of his previous encounters with the Bianconeri.

Sassuolo were on the wrong end of a 3-0 loss when the sides met six months ago and have won only once at home against Udinese in nine previous top-flight encounters.

That is a run the Neroverdi will need to put an end to if they are to hold on to eighth place, making this their best campaign since 2015-16.

Sassuolo's Serie A form: WDDLLW

Udinese's Serie A form: LDLWWL


Team News

Jeremie Boga pictured for Sassuolo in October 2019© Reuters

Jeremie Boga is carrying an injury and will be replaced on the left wing by Lukas Haraslin.

Midfielder Pedro Obiang is serving a suspension and Vlad Chiriches is also sidelined, but De Zerbi is not expected to make many changes.

Francesco Caputo will lead the line and is looking to become the first player in Sassuolo's history to be involved in 30 goals in a single Serie A campaign, requiring two more goals or assists to achieve that.

As for Udinese, Jens Stryger Larsen is back in contention after serving a suspension and could take over from Hidde ter Avest.

Bram Nuytinck will play no part because of injury, which is also the case for Mato Jajalo and Rolando Mandragora.

Udinese midfielder Seko Fofana has already scored two goals and made two assists in five appearances against Sassuolo in the top flight.

Sassuolo possible starting lineup:
Consigli; Toljan, Ferrari, Peluso, Kyriakopoulos; Magnanelli, Bourabia; Berardi, Djuricic, Haraslin; Caputo

Udinese possible starting lineup:
Musso; Becao, Maio, Samir; Larsen, De Paul, Walace, Fofana, Sema; Nestorovski, Lasagna


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Sassuolo 1-2 Udinese

Sassuolo put five past Genoa last time out and are nine points better off than Udinese in the table. The Bianconeri have won three of their last four away matches without conceding, however, and we can see them pulling off a surprise result on the final day.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SassuoloSassuolo1494129121731
2Pisa1493225121330
3SpeziaSpezia137601981127
4Cesena146442319422
5Cremonese135351817118
6Brescia145361820-218
7Juve StabiaJuve Stabia144641316-318
8BariBari133821511417
9Palermo134541311217
10Mantova144551417-317
11CatanzaroCatanzaro1421021513216
12Carrarese144461215-316
13Cosenza CalcioCosenza144731414015
14Modena143651920-115
15Sampdoria134361618-215
16Reggiana143651416-215
17SudtirolSudtirol134181420-613
18Salernitana143471322-913
19Cittadella13337619-1312
20FrosinoneFrosinone13175818-1010


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