Rotor

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Rostov

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.