Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
