Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
