Rostov

2 - 1

Arsenal Tula

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 44.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.