Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 10am UK
Stadion Gazovik
Orenburg1 - 2Fakel
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Fakel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Baltika 1-0 Orenburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-0 Fakel
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Orenburg | Draw | Fakel |
52.29% ( -0.01) | 23.44% | 24.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.27% ( 0.01) | 44.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.91% ( 0.01) | 67.09% ( -0.01) |
Orenburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.89% ( 0) | 17.11% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.68% ( 0) | 47.32% ( -0) |
Fakel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% ( 0.01) | 32.34% ( -0.01) |