Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.

Result
Fakel	Draw	Rubin Kazan
27.62% ( -0.2)	29.28% ( 0.05)	43.09% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 42.02% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.7% (

-0.24)

64.29% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.6% (

-0.17)

83.39% (

0.17)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

-0.3)

40.24% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

-0.28)

76.87% (

0.27)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31% (

-0.03)

29.68% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.26% (

-0.04)

65.74% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Fakel 27.62%

Rubin Kazan 43.09%

Draw 29.27%

Fakel	Draw	Rubin Kazan
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.35% Total : 27.62%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.27%	0-1 @ 14.5% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 43.09%