Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Fakel
55.85%	25.05% ( 0.26)	19.09% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 44.41% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.27% (

-1.25)

56.73% (

1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.32% (

-1.01)

77.68% (

1.01)

Ural Yekaterinburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

-0.49)

20.3% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33% (

-0.79)

52.67% (

0.79)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.72% (

-1.04)

44.28% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.65% (

-0.86)

80.35% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Ural Yekaterinburg 55.85%

Fakel 19.09%

Draw 25.04%

Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.36% Total : 55.85%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.09%