Russian Premier League | Gameweek 16

Nov 26, 2023 at 9am UK

Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
1 - 1
Akhmat Grozny

Obukhov (50')
Florentin (32'), Deogracia (33'), Perez (36'), Obukhov (45+1'), Kenyaykin (65'), Vorobyev (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Agalarov (65' pen.)
Berisha (39'), Agalarov (52'), Camilo (67'), Utsiyev (77'), Kharin (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Akhmat Grozny.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-0 Orenburg
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions

Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, November 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Orenburg	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
48.29% ( 0.5)	23.52% ( -0.1)	28.19% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 59.52% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.14% (

0.22)

41.86% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.74% (

0.23)

64.26% (

-0.22)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47% (

0.28)

17.53% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.95% (

0.48)

48.05% (

-0.48)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

-0.16)

27.82% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58% (

-0.2)

63.42% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Orenburg 48.29%

Akhmat Grozny 28.19%

Draw 23.52%

Orenburg	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.29%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.19%