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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 at 6pm UK
Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
4 - 0
Orenburg

Timofeev (9'), Berisha (24'), Ilyin (35'), Camilo (87')
Ilyin (59')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gojkovic (36'), Florentin (74'), Obukhov (74')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 Akhmat Grozny
Monday, August 14 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 0-2 Krasnodar
Saturday, August 12 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawOrenburg
45.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 24.97% (0.029 0.03) 29.46% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (-0.101 -0.1)47.62% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.093 -0.09)69.82% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)20.94% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.123 -0.12)53.68% (0.12 0.12)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.87% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.97% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 45.57%
    Orenburg 29.46%
    Draw 24.97%
Akhmat GroznyDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.57%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.56% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.46%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 18
Akhmat Grozny
3-1
Orenburg
Kharin (11'), Berisha (45+3' pen.), Timofeev (90+4')
Vorobyev (45+6')
Oct 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Orenburg
2-1
Akhmat Grozny
Sychevoy (53'), Ayupov (68')
Konate (28')
Nov 23, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 17
Orenburg
1-2
Akhmat Grozny
Skoflek (91')
Ayupov (35'), Dovbnya (38'), Malykh (72')
Ponce (36' pen.), Roshi (75')
Gigolaev (33'), Ivanov (64'), Roshi (66')
Aug 5, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 4
Akhmat Grozny
2-1
Orenburg
Kharin (49'), Roshi (70')
Shvets (23'), Nizic (26'), Glushakov (93')
Despotovic (65')
Shakhov (4'), Despotovic (69')
Apr 8, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Orenburg
1-3
Akhmat Grozny
Terekhov (4')
Kozlov (3'), Breev (25'), Sivakov (60'), Popovic (73'), Malykh (91')
Ravanelli (37'), Ivanov (48'), Balaj (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC KrasnodarKrasnodar1511403272537
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit1511313372636
3Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv15111330181234
4Dynamo Moscow1593331171430
5Spartak Moscow1584325121328
6CSKA MoscowCSKA1583424101427
7Rubin Kazan166462022-222
8RostovRostov154562026-617
9Akron TolyattiAkron164481933-1416
10Nizhny Novgorod154381527-1215
11Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala15366914-515
12Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov153391323-1012
13KhimkiKhimki152671628-1212
14Fakel152671023-1312
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny151681329-169
16OrenburgOrenburg151591630-148
> Russian Premier League Full Table


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