Russian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Akhmat Arena
Akhmat Grozny1 - 2Fakel
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Fakel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zenit 2-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, October 28 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, October 28 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Fakel 2-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Fakel |
48.96% ( 1.5) | 25.44% ( -0.45) | 25.59% ( -1.06) |
Both teams to score 51.05% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48% ( 1.03) | 51.99% ( -1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.26% ( 0.88) | 73.73% ( -0.88) |
Akhmat Grozny Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.75% ( 1.09) | 21.25% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.83% ( 1.66) | 54.16% ( -1.66) |
Fakel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.83% ( -0.32) | 35.16% ( 0.32) |