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Real Sociedad logo
La Liga | Gameweek 37
Jul 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Sevilla logo

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Sevilla


Barrenetxea (90+7')
FT

Kounde (45+1'), Banega (90+1')

Preview: Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga meeting between Real Sociedad and Sevilla, including team news and predicted lineups.

Real Sociedad take on Sevilla at Anoeta Stadium on Thursday evening in their penultimate La Liga fixture of the season, aiming to join their opponents in securing European football.

The White and Blues have struggled for form since returning to action last month and are holding onto seventh place, while Sevilla are already assured of a top-four finish.


Match preview

Sevilla's Fernando celebrates scoring their second goal against Real Betis on June 11, 2020© Reuters

Villarreal's defeat to Real Sociedad on Monday ensures that Sevilla will be competing in the Champions League next season after a two-year absence.

Los Nervionenses have been in good form of late, winning four on the bounce and going 15 matches without defeat in all competitions either side of the three-month hiatus.

Finishing above Atletico Madrid in third is an attainable target for Julen Lopetegui's side given that they are level on points with Atleti with two games to play.

However, focus will no doubt be on their Europa League last-16 tie with Roma, which has been rearranged for August on neutral soil.

It is shaping up to be a season to remember for Sevilla, then, and the same is very much true for Sociedad as they are also still battling on two fronts.

As well as looking to hold off Athletic Bilbao for sixth place and the guarantee of Europa League football, the Royal will also face their Basque rivals in the Copa del Rey final.

Real Sociedad defender Diego Llorente pictured in March 2020© Reuters

Rather than looking behind at Athletic, though, Imanol Alguacil will no doubt be looking up at Getafe and Villarreal, with just three points separating the sides.

The 2019-20 season could have offered even more for Sociedad, however, given that they were fourth not so long ago following a run of four wins in five matches.

They have won only two of their nine matches since then, with that latest victory coming last time out against Villarreal - Willian Jose and Diego Llorente on target for Alguacil's side.

Having lost three of their last four home matches, though, and won just one of their last seven league encounters with Sevilla, picking up the win they need on Thursday will be a big ask.

Real Sociedad's La Liga form: LLWDLW

Sevilla's La Liga form: DDWWWW


Team News

Real Sociedad striker Willian Jose pictured in November 2019© Reuters

Adnan Januzaj and Asier Illarramendi head the list of Sociedad's injury absentees for Thursday evening's clash.

Right-back Joseba Zaldua has recovered from injury and should start, however, with Andoni Gorosabel expected to drop out.

Willian Jose has yet to register in six La Liga meetings with Sevilla - his worst run against any side in the competition - though he is likely to start alongside Mikel Oyarzabal.

As for the visitors, goalkeeper Tomas Vaclik is still not over a knee injury that has kept him out of the last two matches, so Yassine Bounou will continue between the sticks.

A quick turnaround in fixtures could force Lopetegui to tweak things slightly, but Munir El Haddadi and Lucas Ocampos will be hopeful of retaining their places in attack.

Luuk de Jong is in contention to take over from Oliver Torres, though, having missed out on selection in the 2-0 win over Mallorca.

Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:
Moya; Zaluda, Llorente, Normand, Monreal; Odegaard, Zubeldia, Merino; Portu, Willian Jose, Oyarzabal

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Escudero; Jordan, Fernando, Banega; Ocampos, De Jong, Munir


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Real Sociedad 1-1 Sevilla

There is no doubt that Sociedad have dropped off the pace since last month's restart, losing five and drawing two of their last nine matches. Sevilla have won just one of their last eight La Liga games in San Sebastian, however, so we can see this one ending all square.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.


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Sevilla's Lucas Ocampos pictured in February 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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