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Granada logo
La Liga | Gameweek 36
Jul 13, 2020 at 9pm UK
Los Carmenes
Real Madrid logo

Granada
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Machis (50')
Duarte (46'), Dias (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mendy (10'), Benzema (16')
Mendy (17'), Courtois (90+3')

Preview: Granada vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Granada and Real Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Real Madrid will be looking to take another huge step towards winning La Liga when they travel to Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes to face Granada on Monday night.

Los Blancos are just two victories away from clinching the title, but Granada have top-six ambitions and will enter this match off the back of a three-game unbeaten run in Spain's top flight.


Match preview

Granada manager Diego Martinez pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Granada secured a return to La Liga for the current season courtesy of finishing second in the Segunda Division last term and therefore consolidating at this level was always going to be their number one target.

El Grana have not finished higher than 15th in Spain's top flight since the 1973-74 campaign but are currently in the mix for a top-six spot, which would be some achievement for the newly-promoted side.

As it stands, Diego Martinez's side are ninth in the table, just three points behind sixth-placed Getafe as they bid to sneak into the Europa League positions.

Granada actually struggled for form immediately after the lockdown period, but they have picked up seven points from their last three matches and recorded an impressive 3-2 victory at Real Sociedad on Friday.

Real Madrid striker Karim Benzema celebrates with teammates after scoring against Alaves on July 10, 2020© Reuters

Madrid, meanwhile, made it eight straight La Liga victories with a 2-0 success over Alaves on Friday, with Karim Benzema and Marco Asensio on the scoresheet for Zinedine Zidane's side.

The capital giants are now four points clear of second-placed Barcelona, who will be looking to stay in touch when they face Real Valladolid on Saturday night.

Should the reigning champions lose against Valladolid then Madrid can clinch the title by beating Granada, but it would be a surprise if the title race was not still live entering the final two games of the season.

Regardless of what Barca manage to do in their final three matches, two wins would be enough for Zidane's side to wrestle the title away from the Catalan giants, which would be some achievement.

Madrid have been in wonderful form since returning to action last month, winning all eight of their league matches, including each of their last three on their travels.

Granada La Liga form: LDLWDW

Real Madrid La Liga form: WWWWWW


Team News

Real Madrid captain Sergio Ramos celebrates with Eden Hazard after scoring on June 14, 2020© Reuters

Granada will again be without the services of Maxime Gonalons, Alex Martinez, Quini and Neyder Lozano through injury, but Alvaro Vadillo could overcome a stomach issue in time for Monday's clash.

Darwin Machis and Ramon Azeez are both pushing for spots in the XI after appearing as substitutes in the impressive 3-2 win at Sociedad on Friday night.

Martinez is largely expected to keep faith with the side that started at the Anoeta, although there will be some changes to guard against fatigue.

As for Madrid, Sergio Ramos and Dani Carvajal are both available after missing the clash against Alaves through suspension, but fellow defender Nacho remains on the sidelines with a muscular problem.

Marcelo is also expected to miss the rest of the 2019-20 La Liga season with an adductor injury, but Eden Hazard featured as a substitute against Alaves after concerns over an ankle issue.

Hazard could now return to the starting XI, while Federico Valverde's energy could be preferred to Luka Modric's experience in the middle of the park.

Zidane has plenty of options for change when it comes to the final third, but Asensio is again expected to keep out the likes of Isco, Gareth Bale and Vinicius Junior to start on the right.

Granada possible starting lineup:
Silva; Foulquier, Diaz, Vallejo, Duarte, Neva; Machis, Herrera, Azeez, Puertas; Soldado

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Varane, Ramos, Mendy; Kroos, Casemiro, Valverde; Hazard, Benzema, Asensio


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Granada 0-2 Real Madrid

Granada's recent form must be respected, but it is difficult to see the home side stopping Madrid on Monday night. Zidane's side are well on course to lift the title, and we fancy them to put another hugely important victory on the board ahead of their final two matches of the campaign against Villarreal and Leganes.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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