Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Mu'aidar win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Mu'aidar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Al Ahli	Draw	Al Mu'aidar
31.95% ( 0.77)	24.26% ( -0.14)	43.78% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 59.19% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.71% (

0.97)

43.28% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.31% (

0.95)

65.68% (

-0.95)

Al Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

0.96)

26.06% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89% (

1.27)

61.11% (

-1.27)

Al Mu'aidar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

0.12)

19.93% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

0.2)

52.08% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Al Ahli 31.95%

Al Mu'aidar 43.78%

Draw 24.25%

Al Ahli	Draw	Al Mu'aidar
2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.95%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 3% Total : 43.78%