Umm Salal

3 - 1

Al Ahli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.