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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
OPEL ARENA

Osijek
1 - 0
Gorica

Caktas (29')
Caktas (42'), Brlek (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 3-2 Adana Demirspor
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 Gorica
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osijek in this match.

Result
OsijekDrawGorica
54.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.26% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 20.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.79% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)73.56% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)39.5% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (0.009999999999998 0.01)76.19% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 54.89%
    Gorica 20.84%
    Draw 24.26%
OsijekDrawGorica
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 54.89%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.84%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hajduk Split138412181328
2HNK RijekaRijeka146802051526
3Dinamo Zagreb1474330171325
4NK VarazdinVarazdin14563129321
5Osijek136251916320
6Slaven Koprivnica143471520-513
7NK Lokomotiva143471521-613
8NK Istra 1961Istra 1961143471123-1213
9GoricaGorica133371321-812
10Sibenik13337925-1612


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