Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match.