Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 54.38%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 1-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-23s would win this match.
