West Ham U23s

5 - 0

Derby U23s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-23s win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 13.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Derby County Under-23s win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-23s would win this match.