Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 38.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.12%) and 3-1 (5.06%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers Under-23s in this match.