Derby U23s0 - 5Man City U23s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County Under-23s | Draw | Manchester City Under-23s |
25.17% | 22.39% | 52.44% |
Both teams to score 60.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.93% | 39.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.61% | 61.39% |
Derby County Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.42% | 28.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.63% | 64.37% |
Manchester City Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% | 15.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% | 43.48% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County Under-23s | Draw | Manchester City Under-23s |
2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.45% Total : 25.17% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 6.11% 0-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.9% 0-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 4% Total : 52.44% |
How you voted: Derby U23s vs Man City U23s
Dixon (28'), Wassall (70')
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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