Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
