Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 57.77%. A win for Manchester United Under-23s had a probability of 21.48% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
